Upcoming Rainfall Event : Nov 2022 - A Brief View 🌪️⛈️

300mm+ Rainfall In No Time of 2 Days, Highly Possible!! ⛈️ 🌪️

 + The most anticipated system is expected to form tomorrow in Bay of Bengal. 

 + Global models have come into agreement with the system track and rainfall. 

 + Will try to answer the most basic questions which people arise generally in the comments section or through WhatsApp. 

1. Is this expected to become cyclone?

 + No, less chances for this system to turn as a cyclone. 

 + However this is expected to slightly intensify as it nears the coasts due to favourable conditions. 

 + This could turn out to be maximum a Depression / Deep Depression.

2. Where is this upcoming system expected to cross?

 + This system is expected to move in low latitudes and to cross near Nagai - Cuddalore belt. 

3. How about the rains from this system for Tamilnadu?

 + When system generally cross near Nagai - Gulf of Mannar, whole Tamilnadu is expected to turn rainy. 

 + No exception case for this one too as heavy rains is forecasted for many parts of Tamilnadu. 

 + Your place will get in one day or another, less chances to miss. 

4. Chennai and KTC?

 + If crossing between Nagai - Cuddalore Belt means, all those northern heavy bands will fall on us which will lead to heavy - very heavy rains in many places of KTC, with few pockets (not hyping) can really see more than extremely heavy rains especially coastal places (Chennai) and Kanchi - Tiruvallur catchments. 

Image Credits : Meteologix - Chennai

5. Which are the key dates for heavy rainfall?

 + The rains will start from this system from 10th night, and the peak of the event is expected on 11th and 12th November. 

 + Interior districts and Coimbatore Belt will get heavy rains from 11th. 

 + For KTC, it's from 10th night and peak in 11, 12th. 

6. After this, dry days ahead??

 + Nope, due to Easterlies we will continue to get rains due to pull effect. 

 + After this system recedes away we have another guy forming which we will track later. 

Credits : TropicalTidBits GFS 

CONCLUSION :

 + Any doubts, please comment below. 

 + The motive of the post is to get to know what we can expect from the above system.

 + Also, these rains can be quite heavier than the previous spells we have faced till now this year. Thus, it is advised to exercise some caution. 

 + Chennai might record 300mm+ rainfall in no time of 2 days. Stay alert, charge your powerbanks and emergency lamps, get some basic food needs, candles etc (Not Hype).

 + Office Goers are suggested to avail Work From Home From Friday - Tuesday / Till Normalcy. 

 + Kindly follow IMD for official weather updates. 

#GTG 🌍💫